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14 analyses4 topicslatest on Oct 29free data, CC BY 4.0

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New Elections 2026 · Runoff

Brazil's vote map is less divided by income than in 2018

Between the poorest and the richest fifth of Brazil's electorate, the gap in the Workers' Party runoff vote fell from 41 to 23 points from 2018 to 2026. Census profile of 5,570 municipalities, with maps.

Oct 28 · 9 minRead the analysis →
Elections 2026 · RunoffBrazil runoff polls: all 20 pollsters underestimated LulaOct 28 · 6 minLabor · Working hoursBrazil cuts the workweek to 40 hours: calculator and dataOct 28 · 10 min

Brazil's 2026 election, in 4 analyses

From the first round to the profile of all 5,570 municipalities, with the official TSE count. Runoff results →

40.8 → 23.2points between the PT vote in the poorest and the richest municipalities, 2018 to 2026Brazil's vote map is less divided by income than in 2018Oct 28 · 9 min16 of 20pollsters missed beyond their margin of error in their last runoff pollBrazil runoff polls: all 20 pollsters underestimated LulaOct 28 · 6 min51.79%of valid votes for Lula, who turned around a 2.22 million deficit2026 runoff result: Lula flipped Minas Gerais and added 10.4 million votesOct 25 · updated Oct 29 · 26 min47.0%of valid votes for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round, against 45.2% for LulaMunicipality by municipality: what changed from the 2022 first round to the 2026 oneOct 21 · 30 min

All analysis

40.8 → 23.2points between the PT vote in the poorest and the richest municipalities, 2018 to 2026 Elections 2026 · RunoffBrazil's vote map is less divided by income than in 2018Oct 28 · 9 min16 of 20pollsters missed beyond their margin of error in their last runoff poll Elections 2026 · RunoffBrazil runoff polls: all 20 pollsters underestimated LulaOct 28 · 6 min44 h → 40 hmaximum workweek, in two steps until December 2027 (Amendment 141) Labor · Working hoursBrazil cuts the workweek to 40 hours: calculator and dataOct 28 · 10 min51.79%of valid votes for Lula, who turned around a 2.22 million deficit Elections 2026 · Runoff2026 runoff result: Lula flipped Minas Gerais and added 10.4 million votesOct 25 · updated Oct 29 · 26 min47.0%of valid votes for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round, against 45.2% for Lula Elections 2026 · First roundMunicipality by municipality: what changed from the 2022 first round to the 2026 oneOct 21 · 30 min1.6 pointsaverage market miss on next year's inflation and GDP Economy · ExpectationsOver 25 years, the market missed next year's inflation by 1.6 points on averageOct 17 · 9 min1 in 3jobs created since 2012 is a formal private-sector job Labor · PNAD ContínuaUnemployment is near its lowest level since 2012. What the rate does not showOct 17 · 13 minR$ 528is what the 1995 minimum wage was worth in Sep 2026; the 2026 one is R$ 1,621 Income · Minimum wageThe minimum wage buys three times as much as in 1995. Most of the gain came before 2012Oct 17 · 13 minR$ 36.9 bnkept by betting companies in 2025 Income · BettingThe size of what was banned: Brazil's betting sites in numbersOct 14 · 6 min79.8 bntransactions a year, up from 9.4 billion four years earlier Payments · Central Bank of BrazilPix became the rail of Brazilian money. And a trade-policy issueOct 14 · 4 min28.2%of household income goes to interest and installments Credit · HouseholdsBrazilian households owe half a year of income. The problem is the monthly paymentOct 14 · 4 min1st of 40Brazil's real interest rate among 40 countries, net of expected inflation (Sep 2026) Interest rates · Brazil and the worldFive rate cuts later, Brazil still tops the real interest rate podiumOct 14 · 7 min27 of 27states have lower unemployment than in 2021 Labor · PNAD ContínuaUnemployment fell in every state. The gap between them depends on the yardstickOct 14 · 5 min+44.7%inflation from January 2020 to September 2026 (IPCA) In charts · No. 1Inflation since the pandemic, in six chartsOct 14 · 3 min

Archive

Each analysis has a permanent citation code. Use the code and the address when you reuse a figure or chart.

CodePublishedAnalysisTopicRead
DB-AN-00142026-10-28Brazil's vote map is less divided by income than in 2018Elections 20269 min
DB-AN-00132026-10-28Brazil runoff polls: all 20 pollsters underestimated LulaElections 20266 min
DB-AN-00122026-10-28Brazil cuts the workweek to 40 hours: calculator and dataJobs and income10 min
DB-AN-00102026-10-252026 runoff result: Lula flipped Minas Gerais and added 10.4 million votesElections 202626 min
DB-AN-00162026-10-21Municipality by municipality: what changed from the 2022 first round to the 2026 oneElections 202630 min
DB-AN-00092026-10-17Over 25 years, the market missed next year's inflation by 1.6 points on averageRates, credit and inflation9 min
DB-AN-00082026-10-17Unemployment is near its lowest level since 2012. What the rate does not showJobs and income13 min
DB-AN-00072026-10-17The minimum wage buys three times as much as in 1995. Most of the gain came before 2012Jobs and income13 min
DB-AN-00062026-10-14Inflation since the pandemic, in six chartsRates, credit and inflation3 min
DB-AN-00052026-10-14Unemployment fell in every state. The gap between them depends on the yardstickJobs and income5 min
DB-AN-00042026-10-14Five rate cuts later, Brazil still tops the real interest rate podiumRates, credit and inflation7 min
DB-AN-00032026-10-14Brazilian households owe half a year of income. The problem is the monthly paymentRates, credit and inflation4 min
DB-AN-00022026-10-14Pix became the rail of Brazilian money. And a trade-policy issuePayments and betting4 min
DB-AN-00012026-10-14The size of what was banned: Brazil's betting sites in numbersPayments and betting6 min

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