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With Galípolo at the Central Bank, the average real interest rate is 9.2%, the highest since Armínio Fraga

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From January 2025 to September 2026, with Gabriel Galípolo as Central Bank governor, the real interest rate averaged 9.2% a year. It is the effective Selic rate minus 12-month inflation.

It is the highest average since Armínio Fraga (11.7%, from 1999 to 2002). Under Roberto Campos Neto, who had the Selic at 2% during the pandemic, it was 2.6%. Galípolo's term runs to 2028, and his average will still change.

9.2%average real interest rate under Galípolo, the highest since Armínio Fraga

Average real interest rate under each governor, % a year, from Mar 1999 to Sep 2026; Galípolo's is still in progress (21 months)

DadoBruto.com
Average real interest rate under each Central Bank governor since 1999: Armínio Fraga, 11.7%; Henrique Meirelles, 7.8%; Alexandre Tombini, 3.6%; Ilan Goldfajn, 4.6%; Roberto Campos Neto, 2.6%; Gabriel Galípolo, 9.2%Armínio Fraga (Mar 1999 to Dec 2002): average real interest rate of 11.7% a yearArmínio Fraga 1999–200211.7%Henrique Meirelles (Jan 2003 to Dec 2010): average real interest rate of 7.8% a yearHenrique Meirelles 2003–20107.8%Alexandre Tombini (Jan 2011 to May 2016): average real interest rate of 3.6% a yearAlexandre Tombini 2011–20163.6%Ilan Goldfajn (Jun 2016 to Feb 2019): average real interest rate of 4.6% a yearIlan Goldfajn 2016–20194.6%Roberto Campos Neto (Mar 2019 to Dec 2024): average real interest rate of 2.6% a yearRoberto Campos Neto 2019–20242.6%Gabriel Galípolo (Jan 2025 to Sep 2026): average real interest rate of 9.2% a yearGabriel Galípolo 2025–hoje9.2%
Source: Central Bank of Brazil (effective Selic, SGS 4189; Selic target, SGS 432) and IBGE (IPCA). Dado Bruto calculation: real rate = (1 + annualized effective Selic) ÷ (1 + 12-month IPCA) − 1, averaged over the months of each term.
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Central Bank governorFromToMonthsAverage real rate (% a year)Selic target: low (%)Selic target: high (%)
Armínio FragaMar 1999Dec 200246.011.715.342.0
Henrique MeirellesJan 2003Dec 201096.07.88.826.5
Alexandre TombiniJan 2011May 201665.03.67.314.3
Ilan GoldfajnJun 2016Feb 201933.04.76.514.3
Roberto Campos NetoMar 2019Dec 202470.02.62.013.8
Gabriel GalípoloJan 2025Sep 2026 (in progress)21.09.213.315.0

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